Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.078364 0.091706 0.106587 0.124407 0.145165 0.168582 0.197008
2026-01-18 0.059677 0.076639 0.097328 0.124402 0.158897 0.201378 0.257698
2026-01-25 0.045265 0.063135 0.086735 0.120147 0.166224 0.227537 0.315389
2026-02-01 0.034699 0.052179 0.076993 0.114727 0.170637 0.250432 0.373079
2026-02-08 0.027867 0.044894 0.070717 0.112636 0.178947 0.279819 0.445085
2026-02-15 0.022512 0.038652 0.064668 0.109521 0.184882 0.306433 0.517604
2026-02-22 0.019164 0.034897 0.061726 0.110624 0.197467 0.345287 0.616307
2026-03-01 0.016227 0.031222 0.058172 0.109904 0.206660 0.379819 0.713611
2026-03-08 0.013468 0.027295 0.053409 0.106046 0.209403 0.403291 0.795041
2026-03-15 0.011608 0.024701 0.050608 0.105277 0.217633 0.437897 0.902952
2026-03-22 0.010513 0.023423 0.050109 0.108898 0.234998 0.492621 1.059423
2026-03-29 0.009645 0.022447 0.050031 0.113329 0.254715 0.555069 1.242128
2026-04-05 0.008636 0.021046 0.048981 0.115906 0.271910 0.617213 1.440115
2026-04-12 0.007594 0.019363 0.047015 0.116114 0.284049 0.670984 1.630722
2026-04-19 0.006463 0.017224 0.043596 0.112273 0.286137 0.702755 1.777281
2026-04-26 0.005454 0.015177 0.039998 0.107287 0.284529 0.725718 1.907554
2026-05-03 0.004754 0.013789 0.037782 0.105382 0.290357 0.767910 2.094467
2026-05-10 0.004116 0.012433 0.035378 0.102500 0.293081 0.802838 2.269600
2026-05-17 0.003721 0.011683 0.034467 0.103554 0.306769 0.868998 2.542005
2026-05-24 0.003317 0.010815 0.033055 0.102894 0.315523 0.923489 2.792764
2026-05-31 0.002876 0.009735 0.030804 0.099288 0.314971 0.951927 2.974226
2026-06-07 0.002576 0.009038 0.029574 0.098574 0.323072 1.006975 3.246317
2026-06-14 0.002415 0.008769 0.029627 0.101971 0.344783 1.106742 3.676179